Mini Oral Australian Epidemiology Association ASM 2018

Estimating dementia incidence and prevalence with multiple linked datasets (#33)

Heidi Welberry 1 , Henry Brodaty 1 , Benjumin Hsu 1 , Sebastiano Barbieri 1 , Louisa Jorm 1
  1. University of New South Wales, UNSW, NSW, Australia

Background

Dementia represents a significant burden on healthcare systems and prevalence is expected to increase rapidly due to population ageing. Australia is lacking up-to-date information on dementia prevalence and incidence, challenging health service planners.

 

Aim

This study uses multiple-linked administrative datasets to measure dementia in a large cohort of older people.

 

Methods

The 45 and Up Study collected baseline survey data (2006-2009) for 266,028 participants aged 45 years and over in New South Wales1. These data were linked with: deaths, hospitalisations2, Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme (PBS) claims3 and Aged Care data4 for the period 2006-2014. Dementia was estimated from diagnosis codes within hospitalisations/ aged care assessments and dementia-specific medication claims. Age-specific incidence and prevalence were calculated.

 

Results

9110 cases of dementia were identified in the cohort. Age-specific incidence rates ranged from 0.3 per 1000 person-years in those 55-59 years old to 72.6 per 1000 person-years in those 90+ years old. Estimated prevalence of dementia was 0.1% and 18.9% in persons aged 55-59 and 90+ years, respectively. Incidence and prevalence were lower than published estimates, for example in people aged 85-89 years, the calculated crude incidence was about 80% of the global estimate.5 Pharmaceutical data were important for detecting younger-onset dementia (under 65 years).

 

Conclusions

This study demonstrates the feasibility of using linked administrative data to measure dementia across a range of ages. The relative importance of different linked datasets varied by age. Further linkages, for example with GP medical records, could improve estimates particularly in younger age groups.

  1. Banks E. Cohort profile: The 45 and up study. Int J Epidemiol. 2008;37(5):941-947.
  2. Linked by the Centre for Health Record Linkage (CHeReL)
  3. Provided by the Department of Human Services
  4. Linked by the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare
  5. Prince et al (2015) World Alzheimer Report 2015: The Global Impact of Dementia, Alzheimer's disease International